Instagram: Sometimes you can’t trust what you see in the “Top Posts”

Instagram: Sometimes you can’t trust what you see in the “Top Posts”

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Whenever real-life gets busy and I start posting sporadically (and stop keeping A+ statistics) I feel a little bit out-of-touch with how I’m doing when life starts getting less-busy and I get back into the rhythm of posting. I use a few measures to figure out if I’m still “on-track”:

  • Peer comparison (people who have approximately the same growth patterns as me)
  • Checking the like and view rates on posts (how many tens/thousands each post gets in the first 12-24 hours)
  • Looking at how much my new content is being reposted by amalgamation accounts
  • How quickly my posts make it into the “Top Posts” section of the hashtags I’ve attached to them

So, when I was starting to get back into the rhythm of posting and checked the hashtag pages to figure out how my last post was doing, you can imagine my devastation when it showed up on [insert drumroll here] none of them.

None of my photos. However there are a lot of photos of Laura Medalia (@codergirl_) which seems weird because it used to be that one person wouldn’t have more than one photo in the “Top Posts” section

I was a little baffled and a little more disappointed. The post was doing well by my other metrics, had Instagram just suddenly up and gotten a lot more popular in the month I got busy?

So I Investigated

I logged onto @ZoraFloraSays and checked the hashtags I used for @JonesDoesLife and lo and behold: there I was.

My immediate thought was “Okay, but they probably know I check @JonesDoesLife so maybe that rigs my top posts.” I logged out of Instagram altogether and went to look at the tags.

Taken literally seconds apart

Still there (top-middle). Apparently the only person who couldn’t see me there was, well, myself.

Why wouldn’t I see my own post on the “Top” section?

The first and simplest answer is “Maybe they don’t want people to use this as a metric”. If you’re on social media to be social, then you probably don’t want to just see your own photos.

After some confused googling, I discovered a new feature that Instagram has recently discussed rolling out: following hashtags. This feature would presumably allow users to follow top posts on new hashtags. Per the nature of Instagram, if your post was a top post then your own photo would show up twice on your feed (which feels like some kind of time travel paradox). I suspect that in preparation of testing and implementing this new feature, they’re also adding more complex logic to the “Top Posts” section in order to customize it for a particular person – they already do this in the Explore feature. This means that everyone will end up seeing different “Top” posts based on what Instagram thinks you’ll like, not based on what is generically a popular post.

What does this mean for content creators?

This could be both good and bad. It means that if you’re already on Instagram’s radar to “be seen” by people with a particular interest, you’ll probably still get proffered up to new users and it’ll be better targeted. However, it also means that you can’t just rely on posting at the peak times and quick engagement from followers to get you noticed (I have a hunch that this might be Instagram’s response to the whole “Instagram Pod” fad). For instance, as a user, if @codergirl_ is taking up 9/9 of my recommended “Top Posts” in a hashtag and I already follow her, that makes it harder for me to find more good people to follow.

To give you some real-life examples, I noticed that despite having (what I think are) decent pictures, my recent posts have had a decreasing amount of views. If I rank my posts by number of views, only one of my posts from the past week even makes the cut.

By contrast, if I sort by likes, three of the posts do.

As I interpret this, it means that fewer people are actually seeing my posts, but the people who are seeing them are also more interested in the content.

I suspect Instagram is not only using hashtags and engagement to determine top posts, but also some kind of image parser to determine what’s actually in the image (i.e. they can tell if it’s a picture of a computer or a human). In plain English, that would mean that not only does Instagram let you categorize things (by hashtags) but they may also have their own internal system categorizing photos and apply it to what you can see.

What would it mean if they’re using an image parser?

As a user you can put whatever hashtags you want on your own photo (you can put #dog on a picture of a cat, etc. etc.) – It would be 100% in Instagram’s best interest to see if the words and the intent align as some hashtags have been widely misused (e.g. for a while the #dogs tag was limited because apparently people had been insulting girls by using that as a hashtag). It’s also relevant if Instagram is trying to sort out inappropriate posts quickly and effectively.

On a more marketing-related-note, let’s say you like a lot of pictures of shampoo ads (just go with me here). So now you’re liking a lot of pictures that have females in them and you’re probably thinking to yourself, “Yes, I really like shampoo, obviously I’m liking the photos”

What you don’t think about is your own internal biases; maybe you only like ads that have blondes in them, maybe you only like ads with people who vaguely look like Jennifer Lawrence, maybe you only like people looking at (or away from) the camera. If a company can figure out specifically what you like, then they’ll prioritize those things in your feed because giving you what you want and keeping you on their website longer also gives them what they want: your time.

I’m going to use my own feed as an example. I have two photos that:

  • Are both captioned with identical hashtags
  • Have similar captions (they’re both about Salesforce)
  • Have a human female as the subject in them
  • Involve programming tangentially (i.e. there’s no code on the screen)
  • They were posted at different times (one in the morning and one in the evening), but from past trends I’ve found that time isn’t actually a good measure of how much engagement a photo will get.
  • They both have a computer in them, but in one of them the computer is way more obvious than the other

As of today, this photo has been seen by 14,4k people and liked by 1,451 of them for an engagement rate of about 10%

If Instagram is using image parsers and you like photos of female computer programmers, you’re definitely going to like this photo:

 

Image analysis by IBM’s Watson

 

You’ll notice that it pegged my gender, “computer”, and “computer programmer” as part of the tag.

In contrast, but with an identical set of hashtags, we have this photo:

It was posted 7 days later, has 5,311 views and 650 likes for an engagement rate of 12%

 

Image Analysis by Watson

 

The parser knows that I’m a girl and I have something mechanical in the photo with me (and it agrees with my coworkers that I look like a former Russian spy), but this one definitely doesn’t tag me as a computer programmer.

This could totally explain the difference in exposure: more people like images that are tagged as having computers in them by AI rather than ones that aren’t if they’re looking at #developer so Instagram will tend to show them more pictures that fit their preferences (as a developer, it would take an incredibly simple logic loop to check whether the AI tags and the user-selected hashtags matched up).

Could the difference be in human preference and not parsers?

Yes, totally. It’s possible that my audience just prefers pictures with people who have computer screens in them versus people that don’t. And to that point I will proffer up another post from about 6 months ago (before the hashtag-follow-feature announcements)

This photo is similar to the first one in that it involves a partial-face and a computer screen. At the time I had around 5,800 followers. This photo has been seen by 13.7k individuals, and has 1,062 likes for an engagement rate of 7.7%

So I had 40% less engagement on this photo, 58% fewer followers at the time, and was exposed to double the number of people. That seems weird. Even though the christmas sweater photo had fewer users looking at it, its engagement rate was comparable with the photo from the week before that was seen by twice the number of people. If people just didn’t like the picture I would expect them to look at it and not like it, causing the engagement rate to go down.

If there aren’t selective algorithms at play here, then I don’t know what to tell you.

So what can you do to combat this?

Take photos that look practically identical!

Jokes. Don’t do this, that’s a terrible idea and will make for terrible content.

My hope is that Instagram is just still working on their algorithms right now and figuring out how to target people (I love @codergirl_ but also don’t want to see only her photos for the rest of my life). If you’re stressed about engagement levels (as in, it’s your business to be stressed about them), then take a look at your stats and see what your most popular content has in common. Don’t look at the number of views, but look at the actual engagement (likes + comments) because that seems to be what Instagram is leading people towards.

It may also be time to start looking outside of Instagram for growth as a content-creator because with the direction the algorithm seems to be leaning – whether they  use image parsing or not – it’ll be easy to pigeonhole content-creators into very specific demographic bubbles, particularly if it’s focused on showing people things they already follow.

TL;DR

Number of views are down but engagement (likes/per view) is up? I’d blame the new algorithms that seem to be applied to the “Top Posts” in the hashtag pages. Much like the Explore page, the hashtag “Top Posts” are being customized to your own profile and seem to be leaning towards people that a user is already following.

I also had some fun using IBM’s Watson Image Recognition System to check out why my photos aren’t doing so hot – if Instagram is using an image classifier then that would be another level of data which they could use to decide what posts people like (regardless of user or hashtags), making hashtags a little irrelevant.

To the Content-Creators: Keep making great content (and images that are relevant to the hashtags your using), and maybe start looking at other platforms for exposure

To the Instagram junkies: It looks like you’re going to have to work a little bit harder to find new accounts to follow



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